Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 28.518552 30.481436 32.598779 35.068348 37.890389 41.040341 44.859364
2025-10-26 26.342681 29.048372 32.140784 35.993012 40.747673 46.546509 54.363417
2025-11-02 24.677685 27.740087 31.369898 36.091818 42.240033 50.245566 61.990592
2025-11-09 22.905580 26.070371 29.912290 35.058912 42.016393 51.521593 66.419001
2025-11-16 21.444795 24.638200 28.586214 33.997291 41.535388 52.252187 70.042474
2025-11-23 20.853513 24.229151 28.495227 34.509104 43.211180 56.245260 79.672112
2025-11-30 20.126049 23.585538 28.032477 34.441953 44.006076 58.973427 87.850112
2025-12-07 19.372856 22.857507 27.397807 34.060452 44.258549 60.826814 94.895928
2025-12-14 18.312595 21.671895 26.075431 32.590040 42.678522 59.358494 94.735750
2025-12-21 17.874592 21.290798 25.827593 32.658795 43.513132 62.182410 104.761089
2025-12-28 17.582364 21.087162 25.806873 33.050923 44.894129 66.206752 119.310589
2026-01-04 16.929997 20.365301 25.019556 32.223616 44.152566 66.069419 123.060270
2026-01-11 16.498559 20.004053 24.831008 32.474847 45.584839 71.134091 146.761929
2026-01-18 16.235323 19.867822 24.966151 33.264385 48.130467 79.418372 191.557309
2026-01-25 15.812479 19.477680 24.692657 33.352137 49.380523 85.228202 238.151532
2026-02-01 15.174447 18.749575 23.869391 32.452640 48.595164 85.823475 260.960958
2026-02-08 14.578340 18.057309 23.065175 31.525529 47.644111 85.775475 281.510157
2026-02-15 14.362021 17.902715 23.068192 31.972864 49.535437 94.122473 396.612156
2026-02-22 14.042965 17.582979 22.796411 31.914211 50.357266 99.779354 536.632033
2026-03-01 13.683869 17.189683 22.388991 31.580767 50.534712 103.541442 709.558545
2026-03-08 13.133659 16.496325 21.481930 30.292044 48.444708 99.120727 671.699441
2026-03-15 12.909728 16.280829 21.322417 30.352429 49.418375 105.721411 1095.561516
2026-03-22 12.758867 16.167925 21.319129 30.696586 51.100023 115.888874 3188.133801